Predictable
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I saw the film Ferris Bueller’s Day Off at a school function with a bunch of classmates, and most of us were talking through the film – including several people providing a running commentary and almost everyone adding comments. At one point, I was accused of having seen the film and of trying to spoil it by telling everyone about coming gags and scenes.
For obvious reasons, I stopped commenting, but the accusation was false – I had not seen the film before, and was simply reacting to what seemed obvious to me. As it happens, I didn’t particularly like the movie – probably because I found it so predictable. It was... meh.
What I did not predict, however, was what I would find when searching the word ‘predictable’. While I had heard of the band Good Charlotte, I was not familiar with their single, Predictable, from the album The Chronicles of Life and Death.
I’m listening to them now, and I am really enjoying it. Described as punk, pop, alternative, and combinations thereof (‘pop-punk’, ‘punk-rock’, pop-rock’, ‘skate punk’, ‘emo’, etc), the band members list bands like Minor Threat, the Sex Pistols, and Green Day as their influences. (I was not familiar with Minor Threat either, so I took a bit of a detour, before returning to Good Charlotte.)
Though released in 2004, Predictable seems quite current and relevant, and I would not have been at all surprised if the song had come out yesterday. The official video is very interesting, visually, and shows a rather dark and distorted world.
Which brings me back to RFK Jr.
Again.
Sigh.
While Trump bounces from disaster to disaster, he appears to have no agenda or ideology other than greed and grift, so the damage he does seems incidental to his purpose. Similarly, Elon Musk bungles his way through life with only self-aggrandizement as his apparent goal.
For other billionaires, like Larry Page, Sergey Brin, Jeff Bezos, and Mark Zuckerberg, their apparent focus is on increasing their money/influence, without apparent interest in anyone other than themselves, and their main ideology appears to be that of the ‘tech bro’. BTW, for anyone wanting to describe any of them as even ‘philanthropy-adjacent’, see my post on the topic.
But I think RFK Jr is different from the others.
His entire ideology appears to revolve around being an anti-vaxxer and eugenicist.
RFK Jr has been a main focus of six of my prior posts (I counted). I started with his anti-vax views, looked at his eugenicist views, and reviewed my positions in response to the excellent Know Rogan Experience review of an appearance on Joe Rogan. I then reviewed his mauling of revision of the ‘Food Pyramid’, talked about the Hantavirus and the US withdrawal from the WHO, and then, most recently, food inspections and explosive diarrhea.
The common elements appear to be his anti-vax and eugenicist positions.
In my opinion, he believes that his actions will help to resolve some imagined inequality, and his apparent belief in eugenics and Social Darwinism suggests that he considers those who will die as a result of those actions to be ‘lesser’ in one way or another.
Many of those who criticize RFK Jr charitably describe him as a conspiracy theorist who believes what he is saying, and actually wants what is best for everyone. I disagree. In my opinion, he exposes his dishonesty through the way he shifts what he says to accommodate the situation he is in, then reverts to his core positions.
I’ve tried to find other explanations for his actions, but have not been successful. This hypothesis may also explain his apparent willingness (eagerness?) to destroy scientific research and health regulation as well, if he assumes that ‘his’ group will either be able to afford safe and nutritious food and healthcare, or will be able to survive the effects of illness and disease.
My hypothesis is obviously unprovable, but I don’t think that ‘wellness’ pseudoscience, greed, and incompetence are sufficient to explain his actions.
So, what is it this time?
Vaccines again. He’s gotten Trump to sign an executive order to ‘recommend’ separating the MMR (measles, mumps, rubella) vaccine into three individual shots.
Cui bono? (‘to whom is it a benefit’)
For the life of me, I can’t see anyone who benefits in any reasonable sense.
I suppose Trump benefits, due to the chaos and distraction from other disasters he has caused. And I’m sure that RFK Jr benefits financially, in one way or another. But the rest of the world? This policy will just make it harder and more expensive for US families to ensure that their children are vaccinated – leading to less access to vaccinations, more illness, and more death.
It makes no sense... except, possibly, from the view of an anti-vax eugenicist...
Maybe he works for ‘Big Measles’...? Silly, but it still seems to make more sense than most other explanations. As an entirely predictable (and predicted) result of his actions, both before and during his tenure at HHS, measles cases have increased dramatically.
That doesn’t look bad, though, does it?
Unless you look at the numbers. In 1963, the measles vaccine was licensed in the US, at which point the case numbers plummeted. Exactly as expected, until measles was declared eliminated in 2000.
In 1998, however, the Andrew Wakefield paper came out. I’ve discussed it previously – the paper was entirely fraudulent, withdrawn, and led to Wakefield having his medical license revoked. And yet, this appears to have been the start of the modern anti-vax movement, leading straight to RFK Jr.
Look at the yearly measles cases from 2000-Present.
Interesting. Looks like it was flat for a while – could the gradual increase over time have something to do with the anti-vax movement?
Wait! What’s this? A massive increase in 2025, and even more in 2026?
What happened in 2025?
Oh. Right.
Interestingly, CDC reported 4 measles deaths on 18-Sep-2026, then changed it on 19-Sep-2026 to ‘*’ (ie, “The National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) does not currently have any death records from 2026 that indicate measles is the underlying cause”). They then, on 24-Sep-2026, changed it to ‘1*’ (ie, “This number is subject to change; CDC will update its reporting as additional information becomes available and relevant reviews are completed”). As of this writing, it appeared as ‘4*’.
The explanation for these changes is that RFK Jr is interfering with CDC reporting in order to avoid reporting deaths from measles. It is consistent with everything else he has done over the past two years, and entirely consistent with his past history. Incidentally, the ‘4*’ deaths currently showing is NOT the same as the ‘4’ originally reported – there have been more cases. Sadly, we may no longer be able to trust CDC numbers to the degree possible in the past.
And we’re still in the early days. In my opinion, he is doing everything possible to sabotage science, healthcare, and regulation in order to support his idiotic ideological positions, and the resulting deaths are just beginning. The knock-on effects of what RFK Jr has done could result in millions of deaths, over time.
In my opinion, he should face criminal charges for negligent homicide for every measles death, which should put him in jail for, roughly, forever.
But first, he must be removed from office.
Cheers!
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